RESOLUTION OF COUNCIL OF MINISTERS OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS

of March 23, 2021 No. 165

About the State program "Transport complex" for 2021-2025

The Council of Ministers of the Republic of Belarus DECIDES:

1. Approve the State program "Transport complex" for 2021-2025 (further - the State program) it (is applied).

2. Determine:

responsible customer of the State program Ministry of Transport and Communications;

the customer of subprogrammes 1 "Rail transport", 3 "Inland water and sea transport", 4th "Civil aviation", 5 "Ensuring functioning of system of transport complex" - the Ministry of Transport and Communications;

customers of the subprogramme 2 "Road, urban electric transport and the subway" - the Ministry of Transport and Communications, regional executive committees and the Minsk Gorispolkom.

3. Customers of the State program within the competence:

take measures for accomplishment of the State program and exercise control of target and effective use of the funds allocated for its realization;

determine contractors of actions of the State program according to the legislation and coordinate their activities;

till February 20 of the year following reporting submit to the responsible customer of the State program the report on the course of accomplishment of subprogrammes of the State program, including efficiency evaluation of their accomplishment.

4. Confer responsibility for implementation of the State program on the Minister of Transport and Communications.

5. This resolution becomes effective after its official publication and extends the action to the relations which arose since January 1, 2021.

Approved by the Resolution of Council of Ministers of the Republic of Belarus of March 23, 2021 No. 165

The state program "Transport complex" for 2021-2025

Chapter 1. General provisions

The state program is developed according to priority of social and economic development of the Republic of Belarus - creation of the developed business environment, steady infrastructure and the accelerated development of service industry and is directed to forming of effective transport complex and creation of the developed transport infrastructure, increase in its safety and availability.

For 2016-2019 in transport industry development key performance indicators improved. Growth of gross value added of transport activities considerably advanced growth rates of gross domestic product over the country: Percent 108,8 and 104,2 respectively. Export of transport services grew by percent 34,2. In 2018 amounts of cargo rail activity reached peak value for number of previous years. Since 2017 it was succeeded to stop fall of passenger turnover, in 2018 and 2019 its growth (by 2017) - percent 103,4 and 106,7 respectively is provided.

At the same time since 2019 for transport industry there were adverse external factors. In 2019 it is connected with suspension of supply of oil products to Ukraine, Poland and the Baltic States in connection with low quality of the Russian oil, decrease in amounts of shipments of potash fertilizers, fall in the European countries of demand for coal, reorientation of the Russian cargo flows from the ports of the Baltic States on own Russian ports. Since March, 2020 the transport industry faced the serious challenge connected with pandemic.

The cargo turnover without pipeline transport for 2020 constituted 71, one billion ton-kilometers, or 92, percent by 2019 (109 percent to the level of 2015), passenger turnover - 18 billion passenger-kilometers, or percent 66,3 by 2019 (73 percent to the level of 2015).

Export of transport services in the republic for 2020 constituted 3, 7 billion US dollars, or percent 91,6 by 2019 (percent 123,6 to the level of 2015).

Chapter 2. Purpose, tasks and structure of the State program

The purpose of the State program is ensuring steady mobility and satisfaction of need of economy for competitive and effective transport services.

Contractors of actions of subprogrammes of the State program bear responsibility for timely and high-quality accomplishment of actions, effective use of the resources directed to their realization according to the legislation.

The state program includes:

subprogramme 1 "Rail transport";

subprogramme 2 "Road, urban electric transport and subway";

subprogramme 3 "Inland water and sea transport";

subprogramme 4th "Civil aviation";

subprogramme 5 "Ensuring functioning of system of transport complex".

Tasks of subprogrammes of the State program are:

subprogrammes 1 "Rail transport" – complex development of rail transport, including enhancement of infrastructure, updating of railway rolling stock, holding technical and technological actions on rail transport;

subprogrammes 2 "Road, urban electric transport and the subway" – ensuring availability, improvement of the quality and safety of services of road, urban electric transport and the subway, increase in overall performance of transport organizations;

subprogrammes 3 "Inland water and sea transport" – increase in efficiency of use of inland water transport, including development of its infrastructure, increase in attractiveness of the State register of ocean ships of the Republic of Belarus;

subprogrammes 4th "Civil aviation" – ensuring availability and quality of air transportation, aviation safety and aviation safety;

subprogrammes 5 "Ensuring functioning of system of transport complex" – increase in scientific potential and general ensuring functioning of transport complex.

The state program provides achievement in 2025 under favorable external conditions for the summary target indicators characterizing the purpose of the State program, the target indicators characterizing tasks, and their values, data on which are provided according to appendix 1:

export growth of transport services – to 125 percent to the level of 2020;

cargo turnover (without pipeline transport) – to 86,2 of one billion ton-kilometers, or percent 120,6 to the level of 2020;

passenger turnover – to 23, one billion passenger-kilometers, or percent 131,7 to the level of 2020.

Summary target indicators of the State program and target indicators of its subprogrammes characterize accomplishment of tasks of the State program and are the most objective for assessment of the services in public conveyance rendered by transport and loads.

Data on comparability of summary target and target indicators of the State program to indicators of goal achievement of sustainable development for the period till 2030 are provided according to appendix 2.

Data on method of calculation of summary target and target indicators of the State program are provided according to appendix 3.

Chapter 3. Financial provision of the State program

On financial provision of implementation of the State program under favorable external conditions it is necessary 7 668 350 695, the 7th ruble, including for 2021 – 1 678 056 903, the 8th ruble, for 2022 – 1 683 992 639 rubles, for 2023 – 1 415 033 282, the 6th ruble, for 2024 – 1 435 837 885, the 7th ruble, for 2025 – 1 455 429 984, the 6th ruble.

Sources of financing are means republican, including republican fund of civil aviation, and local budgets, off-budget centralized investment fund of the Ministry of Transport and Communications (further – Ministry of Transport), own means of contractors of actions of the State program, credit resources (the credits of banks, JSC Development Bank Republic of Belarus), other sources which are not prohibited by the legislation.

On financial provision of implementation of the subprogramme 1 4 rubles are required 1 384 210 663,.

Sources of financing of this subprogramme are:

means of the republican budget – 49 920 313, 4 rubles;

own means of contractors of actions – 447 245 350 rubles;

credit resources – 887 045 000 rubles.

On financial provision of implementation of the subprogramme 2 3 rubles are required 4 503 484 085,.

Sources of financing of this subprogramme are:

means of local budgets – 4 116 168 661, 3 rubles;

own means of contractors of actions (the state transport organizations or economic societies of road, urban electric transport and the subway, 50 and more percent of shares (share in authorized funds) of which belong to the Republic of Belarus or administrative and territorial units (further – the state transport organizations) – 25 961 745 rubles;

credit resources – 361 353 679 rubles.

On financial provision of implementation of the subprogramme 3 90 220 000 rubles are required.

Sources of financing of this subprogramme are:

means of the republican budget – 75 320 000 rubles;

own means of customers (off-budget centralized investment fund of Ministry of Transport) – 14 900 000 rubles.

On financial provision of implementation of the subprogramme 4 1 420 640 638 rubles are required.

Sources of financing of this subprogramme are:

means of the republican budget – 588 969 159 rubles, from them republican fund of civil aviation – 62 325 480 rubles;

own means of customers (off-budget centralized investment fund of Ministry of Transport) – 6 300 000 rubles;

own means of contractors of actions – 424 128 479 rubles;

credit resources – 401 243 000 rubles.

On financial provision of implementation of the subprogramme 5 269 795 309 rubles are required.

Sources of financing of this subprogramme are:

means of the republican budget – 256 289 823 rubles, from them republican fund of civil aviation – 12 650 000 rubles;

own means of customers (off-budget centralized investment fund of Ministry of Transport) – 13 475 486 rubles;

own means of contractors of actions – 30 000 rubles.

Amounts and sources of financing of complex of actions of the State program are provided according to appendix 4.

The amounts of financing provided on accomplishment of the State program are subject to refining in case of change of the macroeconomic indicators applied in calculations. The specific amounts of financing will be annually adjusted taking into account tariff policy, opportunities of budgets, attraction of internal and external sources of financing, and also the implementation of actions directed to increase in overall performance of transport organizations. Financing of the scientific works directed to realization of tasks and actions of subprogrammes of the State program will be performed according to the legislation.

Chapter 4. The main risks in case of accomplishment of the State program. Mechanisms on risk management

Implementation of the State program is integrated to risks of macroeconomic, geopolitical, demographic, financial, legal, technological and epidemiological nature.

Macroeconomic risks are connected with the shift in demand in the market of public conveyances and loads, the main impact on which is exerted by such factors as amounts of industrial and agricultural production, foreign and domestic trade, cultural and community, housing and road construction, change of internal economic environment.

Risks of geopolitical nature are caused by introduction of administrative rationing measures and respectively fast changing of market situation of transport activities in the region.

Demographic risks are connected with decrease in population, occupied, rural population, pupils and students.

Risks of financial nature are caused by lack of own funds of the organizations for implementation of large infrastructure projects, restriction of possibility of attraction of third-party investments, forming and execution of indicators of the republican budget, insufficient level of budget financing, and also possible decrease in financing at the expense of means of off-budget investment fund of Ministry of Transport owing to specifics of its forming by means of payments of the organizations which are a part of the system of Ministry of Transport. Thus, the financial and economic provision of the organizations of transport has significant effect on financing. Risks of financial nature in the field of public conveyances are also connected with change of the income of the population. The most significant financial risks are incomplete or spasmodic financing of actions of the State program by budget funds and own means of the organizations, increase in prices for accomplishment of actions.

Risks of legal nature are caused by change of the legislation, forming of the regulatory legal base and redistribution of functions within state bodies, including control, and also optimization of state bodies.

Technological hazards are connected with depreciation of infrastructure and railway vehicles, toughening of conditions of ensuring accomplishment of movement of vehicles, development of the innovative equipment and lagging of its implementation and production base for maintenance of such equipment.

The risks of epidemiological nature exerting impact on market development of transportations are connected with introduction of rationing arrangements, such as closure of borders, restrictions for trips and introduction of quarantine that considerably reduces economic activity, including production, investments, private consumption and trade. Major factor of such risks is the period of preserving epidemiological flash, its duration and probability of emergence of the second flash in subsequent period when prolongation of measures for control of spread of infection is required.

For minimization of impact of risks it is planned to perform:

determination of priorities for first-priority financing;

monitoring of application of funds for the purpose of their redistribution taking into account current demand;

in the absence of necessary financing from the budget - work on attraction of off-budget financing;

timely change of technology of transportation process and technical operation of vehicles and infrastructure;

monitoring of changes in the international legislation and legislation of the Republic of Belarus.

Chapter 5. Technique of efficiency evaluation of implementation of the State program

The efficiency evaluation of implementation of the State program is carried out annually. Results of this assessment are represented as a part of the annual statement of Ministry of Transport about the course of implementation of the State program.

The efficiency evaluation of implementation of the State program is performed for accounting year and the accruing result since the beginning of its realization.

The efficiency evaluation of implementation of the State program for accounting year is performed in two stages.

At the first stage efficiency of implementation of subprogrammes is evaluated (including in need of regional section).

Degree of implementation of actions of subprogrammes is evaluated as the relation of number of the actions executed in full to total quantity of the actions planned by the subprogramme to realization in reporting year and calculated by formula

SRM = MV/M,

where SRM - degree of implementation of actions;

MV - the number of the actions executed in full from among the actions planned to realization in reporting year;

M - total quantity of the actions planned by the subprogramme to realization in reporting year.

Extent of accomplishment of action is determined based on achievement of the result planned by the provided plan (plans) of activities of the customer for the corresponding accounting year.

The number of actions for calculation of extent of their realization is determined as the amount of the actions given in complex of actions of the State program according to appendix 5, and the organizational and technical actions of the State program determined according to appendix 6. In appendix 6 actions which extent of accomplishment has accurate determination are considered.

From actions for scientific ensuring activities and the provided plan of carrying out research, developmental, experienced and technological works approved by Ministry of Transport for the corresponding accounting year in calculation of degree of implementation of actions those actions which term of realization comes to an end in reporting year are considered.

For assessment of degree of the solution of tasks of subprogrammes extent of achievement of planned values of each target indicator characterizing subprogramme tasks is determined.

Extent of achievement of planned value of target indicator is calculated by formula

SDP/ppz = ZPP/pF / ZPP/software,

where SDP/ppz - extent of achievement of planned value of the target indicator characterizing subprogramme tasks;

ZPP/pF - the value of the target indicator characterizing subprogramme tasks, which is actually reached by the end of the reporting period;

ZPP/software - planned value of the target indicator characterizing subprogramme tasks.

Degree of the solution of tasks of subprogrammes is calculated by formula

where the PRODUCTION SHARING AGREEMENT / p - degree of the solution of tasks of the subprogramme;

SDP/ppz - extent of achievement of planned value of the target indicator characterizing subprogramme tasks;

N - quantity of the target indicators characterizing subprogramme tasks.

If value SDP/ppz more 1, that when calculating degree of the solution of tasks of the subprogramme it is accepted equal 1.

Efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is evaluated depending on values of degree of the solution of tasks of the subprogramme and degree of implementation of actions of the subprogramme and calculated by formula

where ERP / p - efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme;

The PRODUCTION SHARING AGREEMENT / p - degree of the solution of tasks of the subprogramme;

SRM - degree of implementation of actions;

Ffp - amount of actually mastered financial resources on implementation of the subprogramme in reporting year;

Fpp - amount of the planned financial resources on implementation of the subprogramme in reporting year.

Efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is recognized high if ERP value / p makes at least 0,9. If planned values of the target indicators established in breakdown on regions are executed not by all regions and ERP value / p makes at least 0,9, that efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is recognized to average.

Efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is recognized to average if ERP value / p makes at least 0,8. If planned values of the target indicators established in breakdown on regions are executed not by all regions and ERP value / p makes at least 0,8, that efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is recognized satisfactory.

Efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is recognized satisfactory if ERP value / p makes at least 0,7.

Efficiency of implementation of the subprogramme is recognized unsatisfactory other cases.

At the second stage efficiency of implementation of the State program which is determined taking into account extent of goal achievement of the State program and efficiency of implementation of subprogrammes is evaluated.

For assessment of extent of goal achievement of the State program extent of achievement of planned values of each target indicator characterizing the purpose of the State program is determined.

Extent of achievement of planned value of the target indicator characterizing the purpose of the State program is calculated by formula

Sdgppz = Zpgpf / Zpgpp,

where Sdgppz - extent of achievement of planned value of the target indicator characterizing the purpose of the State program;

Zpgpf - the value of the target indicator characterizing the purpose of the State program, which is actually reached by the end of the reporting period;

Zpgpp - planned value of the target indicator characterizing the purpose of the State program.

Extent of goal achievement of the State program is calculated by formula

where Srgp - extent of goal achievement of the State program;

Sdgppz - extent of achievement of planned value of the target indicator characterizing the purpose of the State program;

Mtsp - quantity of the target indicators characterizing the purpose of the State program.

If value Sdgppz more 1, that when calculating extent of goal achievement of the State program it is accepted equal 1.

Efficiency of implementation of the State program is evaluated depending on values of extent of goal achievement of the State program and efficiency of implementation of the subprogrammes entering it and calculated by formula

where Ergp - efficiency of implementation of the State program;

Srgp - extent of goal achievement of the State program;

The PRODUCTION SHARING AGREEMENT / p - degree of the solution of tasks of the subprogramme;

SRM - degree of implementation of actions;

Ff - amount of actually mastered financial resources on implementation of the State program in reporting year;

Fp - amount of the planned financial resources on implementation of the State program in reporting year;

j - number of subprogrammes.

Efficiency of implementation of the State program is recognized high if value Ergp constitutes at least 0,9.

Efficiency of implementation of the State program is recognized to average if value Ergp constitutes at least 0,8.

Efficiency of implementation of the State program is recognized satisfactory if value Ergp constitutes at least 0,7.

Efficiency of implementation of the State program is recognized unsatisfactory other cases.

The efficiency evaluation of implementation of the State program is performed by the accruing result since the beginning of its realization (further - the analyzed period) in two stages.

At the first stage efficiency of implementation of subprogrammes is evaluated (including in need of regional section).

Degree of implementation of actions of subprogrammes is evaluated as the relation of number of the actions executed in full to total quantity of the actions planned by the subprogramme to realization in the analyzed period and calculated by formula

Srnm = Mnv/Mn,

where Srnm - degree of implementation of actions;

Mnv - the number of the actions executed in full from among the actions planned in the analyzed period;

Mn - total quantity of the actions planned by the subprogramme to realization in the analyzed period.

Extent of accomplishment of action is determined based on achievement of the result planned by the provided plan (plans) of activities of the customer for the corresponding accounting year.

The number of actions for calculation of extent of their realization is determined as the amount of the actions given in appendices 5 and 6. In appendix 6 actions which extent of accomplishment has accurate determination are considered.

From actions for scientific ensuring activities and the provided plan of carrying out research, developmental, experienced and technological works approved by Ministry of Transport for the corresponding accounting year in calculation of degree of implementation of actions those actions which term of realization comes to an end in reporting year are considered.

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